Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.006639 0.007428 0.008288 0.009296 0.010450 0.011732 0.013269
2025-03-09 0.005318 0.006377 0.007628 0.009223 0.011219 0.013651 0.016867
2025-03-16 0.004447 0.005572 0.006970 0.008855 0.011358 0.014605 0.019202
2025-03-23 0.003950 0.005129 0.006657 0.008812 0.011819 0.015935 0.022118
2025-03-30 0.003720 0.004987 0.006692 0.009200 0.012863 0.018136 0.026517
2025-04-06 0.003323 0.004568 0.006295 0.008919 0.012900 0.018869 0.028810
2025-04-13 0.003005 0.004223 0.005960 0.008679 0.012945 0.019588 0.031141
2025-04-20 0.002794 0.004012 0.005793 0.008662 0.013313 0.020830 0.034480
2025-04-27 0.002687 0.003941 0.005823 0.008944 0.014178 0.022964 0.039657
2025-05-04 0.002518 0.003760 0.005666 0.008906 0.014501 0.024210 0.043405
2025-05-11 0.002387 0.003628 0.005571 0.008957 0.014972 0.025759 0.047951
2025-05-18 0.002237 0.003451 0.005389 0.008839 0.015126 0.026740 0.051509
2025-05-25 0.002136 0.003354 0.005338 0.008959 0.015752 0.028740 0.057642
2025-06-01 0.002010 0.003205 0.005191 0.008896 0.016037 0.030132 0.062765
2025-06-08 0.001847 0.002983 0.004900 0.008542 0.015720 0.030261 0.065063
2025-06-15 0.001751 0.002867 0.004783 0.008500 0.016010 0.031683 0.070644
2025-06-22 0.001725 0.002871 0.004880 0.008872 0.017179 0.035150 0.081926
2025-06-29 0.001609 0.002708 0.004660 0.008604 0.016977 0.035543 0.085443
2025-07-06 0.001508 0.002565 0.004468 0.008373 0.016832 0.036046 0.089354
2025-07-13 0.001443 0.002483 0.004384 0.008356 0.017152 0.037685 0.096751
2025-07-20 0.001418 0.002474 0.004438 0.008627 0.018148 0.041108 0.110085
2025-07-27 0.001358 0.002396 0.004351 0.008591 0.018432 0.042791 0.118603
2025-08-03 0.001312 0.002340 0.004305 0.008640 0.018921 0.045077 0.129583